2019 NBA Futures: All roads lead though the West (again)

The last time an NBA team was swept in the finals was back in 2007 … it was the Cleveland Cavaliers getting trounced by a younger Tim Duncan and the San Antonio Spurs. Well, unfortunately for the town of Cleveland, not only do they own the Browns, but they own two of the nine NBA finals sweeps—and they are back to back.

The problem isn’t with the Cleveland Cavaliers though. The issue is that the Golden State Warriors look like basketball playing robots from another dimension, a superhuman one. And things don’t look like they are going to change much over in ‘The Town.’ Kevin Durant has stated that he is going to resign for another season. You better believe that the nucleus that makes up these unstoppable Warriors of Golden State will stay intact; they want the three-peat.

Futures Odds on the 2019 NBA Title

After checking Bookmaker a few days ago, we found odds on all of the teams and their implied probability to win the NBA Title in 2019. The top ten candidates according to Las Vegas and top online sites like Bookmaker are:

  • Golden State: +120 (45.5%)
  • Houston +450 (18.2%)
  • Philadelphia +500 (16.7%)
  • Boston Celtics + 650 (13.3%)
  • Los Angeles Lakers + 1400 (6.7%)
  • San Antonio Spurs +2000 (4.8%)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers +2500 (3.8%)
  • Miami Heat +5000 (2.0%)
  • New Orleans Pelicans +5000 (2.0%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder +5000 (2.0%)

The funny thing is that as of today, the sportsbooks have pulled the NBA Futures lines —don’t worry they will put them back up soon—so we have to assume that they have received some information that is critical to their mathematical process.

Of course, we see that the Warriors once again lead the way. They are far and away favorites to win in 2019. But what is most interesting to me is the fact that the Las Angeles Lakers are suddenly in the conversation. This leads me to believe that there is some insider info telling the money people in Vegas that Lebron will land in LA.

Low and behold, Bookmaker just released odds on where Lebron James will go this offseason, and the Lakers are -140 favorites. The next closest team is Philly at +400. This means Las Vegas believes that there is a 58.3% chance that Lebron will sign with Luke and the lakers.

With all of this back-room yammering that must be going on about the Lakers and Lebron. I still don’t see how this would make them real contenders. Lebron had Love, Korver, Smith, Hill, Thompson, and a slew of other talented players and still could take down the Warriors. How would going to a team that plays very little defense be any better?

It is all about those little intangible things that create a rare occurrence of dynamics that make the best team. It isn’t always the best player or best players … but the best team. The only other teams that currently have this type of intangible thing going are the Rockets and the Raptors. The Raptors know who they are, but they just don’t quite have the talent to beat Golden State. The Rockets, on the other hand, might have taken down GSW if Chris Paul the 3rd didn’t go down and miss Game 7.

Futures Assessment

Looking at where the futures were (it remains to be seen what they become), I believe that the Rockets should actually be closer to +250 and then everyone else nudged back some more … the closest competition out of the east right now shouldn’t be set higher than +600 (six to one). Maybe if Lebron goes to the 76ers, they might have a shot. But again how will he mesh? Philly has a good thing going on. Would Lebron just be a cog in their wheel?

In 2019 all roads lead through Houston and Golden State. Whoever wins the West wins again.

 

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Despite NBA Title, Kevin Durant makes Cleveland Cavs underdogs in 2017

The signing of Kevin Durant to a team that had already won a NBA all-time record of 73 wins have had reverberations across the entire league. Continue reading “Despite NBA Title, Kevin Durant makes Cleveland Cavs underdogs in 2017”

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Andre Iguodola deserved the NBA Finals MVP because WINNING

I wouldn’t have argued loudly had Lebron James won the Finals MVP, but it wasn’t a travesty that Andre Iguodola took home the trophy. Continue reading “Andre Iguodola deserved the NBA Finals MVP because WINNING”

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Cavs’ 7-Man Rotation Will Cost Them 2015 NBA Championship

Believe it or not, there’s a bright side to the Cavs getting beat in Game 4 of the NBA Finals in Cleveland. The bright side is that the game was over and they could rest. Continue reading “Cavs’ 7-Man Rotation Will Cost Them 2015 NBA Championship”

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My mom isn’t surprised that the Cavs beat the Warriors (again)

In the late 1980’s, my sister and I took an interest in basketball. With NBA on the television all the time, my mom also became a hoops fan (in addition to loving Knots Landing). Continue reading “My mom isn’t surprised that the Cavs beat the Warriors (again)”

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Which travel was worse: Lebron James’ stroll or Kendrick Perkins’ dancing?

Who knew that Cleveland was a hotbed for travelers? Continue reading “Which travel was worse: Lebron James’ stroll or Kendrick Perkins’ dancing?”

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Steph Curry takes 2014-15 MVP despite Mike Crispino’s 5th place vote

Steph Curry was rightfully awarded the 2014-15 NBA MVP trophy yesterday in a lopsided vote that made all the talk about James Harden and Russell Westbrook seem ridiculous in hindsight. Continue reading “Steph Curry takes 2014-15 MVP despite Mike Crispino’s 5th place vote”

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Carmelo plays in All-Star Game, then quits on Knicks (and no one is surprised)

Of course Carmelo Anthony played in the 2015 NBA All-Star Game and called it a season a couple days after. It would have been out of character if he didn’t. Continue reading “Carmelo plays in All-Star Game, then quits on Knicks (and no one is surprised)”

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NBA stars wear “I Can’t Breathe” t-shirts during pregame warmups to build awareness for Eric Garner

It’s great to see that NBA superstars Derrick Rose, LeBron James, Kevin Garnett, Deron Williams, and Kyrie Irving wearing “I Can’t Breathe” t-shirts over this last week. Continue reading “NBA stars wear “I Can’t Breathe” t-shirts during pregame warmups to build awareness for Eric Garner”

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NBA Geeked Up Shirts

A couple weeks ago, I picked up a couple Geeked Up t-shirts from the NBA store. I just couldn’t resist t-shirts with the a cartoon-styled Dikembe Mutombo with his signature finger wag and Larry Johnson in retro Charlotte Hornets jersey flashing his gold tooth. Continue reading “NBA Geeked Up Shirts”

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Jingle Hoops: The NBA’s Christmas Commercial to Promote Sleeved Jerseys

NBA Christmas Commerical 2013 Jingle Bells

The NBA released another cool Christmas commercial this year. “Jingle Hoops” promotes their special edition Christmas day sleeved jerseys, or NBA jerseys with sleeves, or shirt uniforms… by Adidas.

Jingle Hoops” brings together 6 NBA superstars, all of whom will be playing on Christmas Day. The ad features Derrick Rose, Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, James Harden, Steve Nash, and LeBron James shooting jump shots.

As the jumpers swish through nets fashioned with bells, the shots sound off to the tune of jingle bells.

This was a followup to last year’s “Dribbling the Bells” where NBA stars Dwight Howard, Carmelo Anthony, Joe Johnson, Russell Westbrook, and Dwyane Wade dribbled out “The Carols of the Bells.”

Looking at last year’s lineup, if they had replaced Joe Johnson with Kobe Bryant, they would have had five of the most polarizing stars in the NBA. With Durant, Curry, Rose, Nash and Harden, you have a much more likable lineup in 2013 (notice I left out LeBron?). Jesus Christmas!

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